After opening at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR in Watkins Glen 2018, which runs Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It is the second road course race of the season and Denny Hamlin, recorded at 10-1 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds, won the pole Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road course wins, including two in Watkins Glen, but his final win at The Glen was back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling in The Glen this past year and can be recorded at 4-1 odds. Prior to making any 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen choices, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer version must say.

The model, built by DFS expert Mike McClure, has an established track record in multiple sports. It also powers McClure’s DFS projections, that have led him to more than $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Significant racing events like this have been in his blood, and his model was beating its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has made several enormous calls this year, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick at the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 also as Harvick’s win in the KC Masterpiece 400. It also nailed five of the top 10 in Bristol and two of the top five at Daytona, just to name a few. Anybody following its picks this season is way, way up.

Now that the 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen area is secured, SportsLine mimicked the event 10,000 times and the results were so unexpected.

1 surprising pick from the model for GoBowling at The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, obtaining the third-best NASCAR in Watkins Glen odds to win at 6-1, does not sniff the top 10. He is a driver to prevent on Sunday despite his stellar beginning place of third.

Elliott is still in search of his first career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series win. He has cracked the top 10 in four of his last seven starts, but was only 19th at Chicago and 34th in Daytona a month. Last year in Watkins Glen, Elliott again started close to the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest speed (124.520 mph) at the final clinics for GoBowling at The Glen 2018, but the version says he’s a favorite to fade.

Another shocker: Truex Jr., getting the second-best odds at 4-1, doesn’t even finish in the top five.

He has had lots of success on road tracks, including winning last year. But he’s a risky pick at these odds because he has an average finish position of 12th at Watkins Glen in his career and has completed 10th or worse in three of the past six races here. There are better values out there within this affluent Go Bowling in The Glen field.

Rather, the model is targeting two huge underdogs with chances longer than 30-1 who are poised to make a serious run in the checkered flag, including a monster long haul. Anyone who bets on these underdogs could strike it rich.

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